2012 North Carolina gubernatorial election



















North Carolina gubernatorial election, 2012







← 2008
November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06)
2016 →
Turnout 67.30%




























 

Pat McCrory in 2014.jpg

Walter Dalton (cropped).jpg
Nominee

Pat McCrory

Walter Dalton

Party

Republican

Democratic
Popular vote

2,440,707
1,931,580
Percentage

54.6%
43.2%




North Carolina Governor Election Results by County, 2012.svg
County Results


McCrory:
     40–50%
     50–60%
     60–70%
     70–80%

Dalton:
     40–50%
     50–60%
     60–70%
     70–80%












Governor before election

Bev Perdue
Democratic



Elected Governor

Pat McCrory
Republican



























The 2012 North Carolina gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the 2012 United States presidential election, U.S. House elections, statewide judicial elections, Council of State elections and various local elections.


The incumbent Democratic governor, Bev Perdue, was eligible to run for reelection. However, she announced on January 26, 2012, that she would not seek a second term in office. The Democratic nominee was the incumbent lieutenant governor, Walter H. Dalton, the Republican nominee was former mayor of Charlotte Pat McCrory and the Libertarian nominee was Barbara Howe. McCrory won the election with almost 55 percent of the vote to Dalton's 43 percent, the largest margin of victory for a Republican in an open-seat race for governor since the Reconstruction Era. When he became the 74th governor of North Carolina in January 2013, the Republicans won complete control of state government for the first time since Reconstruction.




Contents






  • 1 Democratic primary


    • 1.1 Candidates


      • 1.1.1 Declined




    • 1.2 Polling


    • 1.3 Debates


    • 1.4 Results




  • 2 Republican primary


    • 2.1 Candidates


      • 2.1.1 Declined




    • 2.2 Polling


    • 2.3 Results




  • 3 General election


    • 3.1 Candidates


    • 3.2 Predictions


    • 3.3 Polling


    • 3.4 Debates


    • 3.5 Results




  • 4 See also


  • 5 References


  • 6 External links





Democratic primary



Candidates



  • Bruce Blackmon, physician[1]


  • Walter Dalton, Lieutenant Governor[2]

  • Gary M. Dunn,[3] salesman and UNC-Charlotte student[4]


  • Bob Etheridge, former U.S. Representative[5]


  • Bill Faison, State Representative[6]

  • Gardenia Henley, retired U.S. Agency for International Development auditor[7]



Declined




  • Dan Blue, State Senator[8]


  • Erskine Bowles, chairman of the National Commission on Fiscal Responsibility and Reform, former UNC System president, former White House Chief of Staff[9]


  • Roy Cooper, Attorney General of North Carolina[10]


  • Janet Cowell, State Treasurer[11]


  • Cal Cunningham, former State Senator[12]


  • Anthony Foxx, mayor of Charlotte[13]


  • Kay Hagan, U.S. Senator[14]


  • Jim Hunt, former Governor[10]


  • Allen Joines, Mayor of Winston-Salem[15]


  • Mike McIntyre, U.S. Representative[16]


  • Brad Miller, U.S. Representative[17]


  • Richard H. Moore, former North Carolina State Treasurer and candidate for governor in 2008[18]


  • Bev Perdue, incumbent governor[19]


  • Heath Shuler, U.S. Representative[20]



Polling











































































































Poll source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size

Margin of
error
Bruce
Blackmon
Walter
Dalton
Gary
Dunn
Bob
Etheridge
Bill
Faison
Gardenia
Henley
Undecided

Public Policy Polling
May 5–6, 2012
500
± 3.1%
2%

34%
4%
29%
4%
4%
24%

Survey USA
April 26–30, 2012
560
± 4.2%
2%

32%
5%
23%
5%
3%
30%

Public Policy Polling
April 27–29, 2012
500
± 4.4%
3%

36%
2%
26%
5%
3%
25%

Civitas/Survey USA
April 20–23, 2012
448
± 4.7%
3%

32%
3%
27%
4%
2%
27%

Public Policy Polling
April 20–22, 2012
500
± 4.4%
4%

26%
4%
25%
5%
2%

35%

Public Policy Polling
March 23–25, 2012
505
± 4.4%
5%
15%
4%

26%
3%
2%

45%

Public Policy Polling
February 29–March 1, 2012
499
± 4.4%
5%
19%
2%

26%
2%
4%

41%
















































































Poll source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size

Margin of
error
Dan
Blue
Walter
Dalton
Bob
Etheridge
Bill
Faison
Mike
McIntyre
Brad
Miller
Richard
Moore
Undecided

Public Policy Polling
February 3–5, 2012
400
± 4.9%
13%
10%

21%
2%
6%
8%
7%

33%
11%
20%

24%
4%




41%

22%

25%
6%
7%



40%

20%

24%
4%

11%


41%

21%

24%
5%


8%

41%

24%

30%
6%




39%


Debates


A series of televised debates between candidates Dalton, Etheridge and Faison, held April 16–18, was considered potentially pivotal, since "the governor’s race has so far attracted little attention, created little buzz and produced few political commercials" and "polls suggest there is still a large swath of Democratic voters who have yet to decide" for whom to vote.[21]
The first debate, conducted by WRAL-TV and broadcast statewide, featured few differences between the candidates, but Faison was seen as the aggressor.[22] The second debate (conducted by UNC-TV) was more contentious, with Dalton criticizing Etheridge's support of a free trade agreement while he was in Congress, and Etheridge attacking Dalton over his attendance record on boards and commissions and his alleged failure to speak out against the actions of the majority-Republican legislature.[23]
In the final debate of the series, this one conducted by WNCN-TV and the North Carolina League of Women Voters, candidates were considered to be more "muted" in their criticisms of each other. All three spoke out strongly against a voter ID bill proposed by Republicans in the state legislature. Dalton emphasized modernizing the state's economy, Etheridge continued his themes of leadership and education, and Faison most sharply attacked Republicans and called for action on the state's unemployment problem.[24]



Results



























































Democratic primary results[25]
Party
Candidate
Votes
%


Democratic

Walter H. Dalton

425,618

45.8


Democratic
Bob Etheridge
353,209
38.0


Democratic
Bill Faison
51,759
5.6


Democratic
Gardenia Henley
48,402
5.2


Democratic
Gary M. Dunn
27,163
2.9


Democratic
Bruce Blackmon
22,158
2.4
Total votes

928,309

100


Republican primary



Candidates



  • Jim Harney, businessman[26]

  • Scott Jones, businessman[27]

  • Jim Mahan, small businessman and former teacher[28]


  • Pat McCrory, former mayor of Charlotte and nominee for governor in 2008[29]

  • Charles Kenneth Moss, businessman and preacher[30][31]

  • Paul Wright, attorney and former District Court and Superior Court judge[30]



Declined




  • Phil Berger, State Senate President Pro Tem[32]


  • Cherie Berry, state labor commissioner (running for re-election)[33]


  • Peter Brunstetter, state senator[34]


  • Paul Coble, former mayor of Raleigh and current chairman of the Wake County Board of Commissioners (running for Congress)[35]


  • Steve Troxler, state Agriculture Commissioner (running for re-election)[36]



Polling

















































































Poll source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size

Margin of
error
Jim
Harney
Scott
Jones
Jim
Mahan
Pat
McCrory
Charles
Moss
Paul
Wright
Undecided

Public Policy Polling
May 5–6, 2012
496
± 4.4%
2%
3%
2%

70%
1%
2%
20%

Survey USA
April 26–30, 2012
451
± 4.5%
3%
3%
2%

65%
3%
2%
21%

Public Policy Polling
April 27–29, 2012
486
± 4.4%
4%
2%
2%

66%
0%
2%
24%

Public Policy Polling
April 20–22, 2012
521
± 4.3%
3%
1%
2%

67%
1%
2%
23%

Public Policy Polling
March 22–25, 2012
561
± 4.1%
2%
1%
3%

64%
2%
0%
28%






















Poll source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size

Margin of
error
Pat
McCrory
More Conservative
Challenger
Other
Undecided

Public Policy Polling
September 1–4, 2011
400
± 4.9%
40%

46%

15%
































Poll source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size

Margin of
error
Phil
Berger
Cherie
Berry
Tom
Fetzer
Virginia
Foxx
Pat
McCrory
Patrick
McHenry
Sue
Myrick
Fred
Smith
Other/
Undecided

Public Policy Polling
November 19–21, 2010
400
± 4.9%
2%
3%
12%
11%

37%
3%
6%
4%
22%


Results



























































Republican primary results[25]
Party
Candidate
Votes
%


Republican

Pat McCrory

744,226

83.4


Republican
Paul Wright
46,986
5.3


Republican
Scott Jones
30,884
3.5


Republican
Jim Mahan
29,794
3.3


Republican
Jim Harney
26,242
2.9


Republican
Charles Kenneth Moss
13,696
1.5
Total votes

891,828

100


General election



Candidates




  • Walter H. Dalton (D), lieutenant governor

  • Barbara Howe (L), nominee for governor in 2000 and 2004[37]


  • Pat McCrory (R), former mayor of Charlotte and nominee for governor in 2008



Predictions




























Source
Ranking
As of

The Cook Political Report[38]

Lean R
November 1, 2012

Sabato's Crystal Ball[39]

Likely R
November 5, 2012

Rothenberg Political Report[40]

Likely R
November 2, 2012

Real Clear Politics[41]

Likely R
November 5, 2012


Polling





































































































































































































































































































































































































































Poll source
Date(s)
administered
Sample
size

Margin of
error
Walter
Dalton (D)
Pat
McCrory (R)
Barbara
Howe (L)
Other
Undecided

Public Policy Polling
November 3–4, 2012
926
± 3.2%
43%

50%
4%

3%

Public Policy Polling
October 29–31, 2012
730
± 3.6%
39%

50%
4%

7%

WRAL News/SurveyUSA
October 26–29, 2012
682
± 3.8%
36%

53%


11%

Elon University
October 21–26, 2012
1,238
± 2.8%
38%

52%

2%
8%

Rasmussen Reports
October 25, 2012
500
± 4.5%
35%

54%

1%
10%

Public Policy Polling
October 23–25, 2012
880
± 3.3%
37%

50%
5%

8%

Rasmussen Reports
October 17, 2012
500
± 4.5%
42%

53%


4%

Public Policy Polling
October 12–14, 2012
1,084
± 3%
37%

47%
5%

11%

Rasmussen Reports
October 9, 2012
500
± 4.5%
38%

52%


10%

Gravis Marketing
October 6–8, 2012
1,325
± 2.9%
33%

50%


17%

Rasmussen Reports
October 2, 2012
500
± 4.5%
38%

54%

1%
7%

Survey USA
September 29–October 1, 2012
573
± 4.2%
39%

51%
3%

7%

Public Policy Polling
September 27–30, 2012
981
± 3.1%
37%

47%
5%

10%

WSJ/NBC News/Marist
September 23–25, 2012
1,035
± 3.4%
39%

52%


8%

Civitas
September 18–19, 2012
600
± 4%
38%

49%
3%

10%

Rasmussen Reports
September 13, 2012
500
± 3.4%
38%

51%
1%

10%

Survey USA/Civitas
September 4–6, 2012
500
± 3.4%
39%

55%
4%

29%

Public Policy Polling
August 31–September 2, 2012
1,012
± 3.4%
39%

45%
5%

10%

Elon Univ./Charlotte Observer
August 25–30, 2012
1,089
± 3.4%
37%

52%


11%

Public Policy Polling
August 2–5, 2012
813
± 3.4%
38%

45%
7%

11%

Rasmussen Reports
July 27, 2012
500
± 4.5%
41%

46%

3%
10%

Civitas
July 16–18, 2012
600
± 4%
37%

47%
6%

4%

Public Policy Polling
July 5–8, 2012
775
± 3.5%
36%

43%
9%

12%

Survey USA
June 29–July 1, 2012
558
± 4.2%
44%

46%
7%

3%

Rasmussen Reports
June 25, 2012
500
± 4.5%
35%

49%

4%
12%

NBC News/Marist
June 24–25, 2012
1,019
± 3.1%
41%

43%


17%

Public Policy Polling
June 7–10, 2012
810
± 3.4%
40%

47%


13%

Survey USA
May 18–21, 2012
524
± 4.4%
39%

44%
7%

10%

Civitas
May 19–20, 2012
600
± 4%
38%

48%


12%

Rasmussen Reports
May 14, 2012
500
± 4.5%
41%

50%

1%
8%

Public Policy Polling
May 10–13, 2012
666
± 3.8%
40%

46%


13%

Rasmussen Reports
April 10, 2012
500
± 4.5%
36%

45%

5%
14%

Public Policy Polling
March 8–11, 2012
804
± 3.5%
35%

46%


19%

Civitas
February 27–28, 2012
600
± 4%
29%

49%


22%

Public Policy Polling
January 27–29, 2012
554
± 4.2%
35%

50%


15%

Public Policy Polling
September 30–October 3, 2011
760
± 3.6%
32%

46%


23%

Public Policy Polling
March 17–20, 2011
584
± 4.1%
27%

47%


26%






Debates


Dalton and McCrory met for their first televised debate at the studios of UNC-TV on Oct. 3, 2012. Two debates were sponsored by the North Carolina Association of Broadcasters Educational Foundation, with the third and final debate sponsored by WRAL-TV and the Rocky Mount Chamber of Commerce. Howe was not invited to participate in any of the scheduled debates. The Associated Press characterized Dalton as going "on the offensive" against McCrory in the first debate.[42] The final encounter between the two candidates, held Oct. 24 on the campus of North Carolina Wesleyan College, featured "more subdued disagreements over taxes, education, health care and mental health."[43]




  • Complete video of debate, C-SPAN, October 3, 2012


  • Complete video of debate, C-SPAN, October 24, 2012



Results




Pat McCrory celebrating his election victory























































North Carolina gubernatorial election, 2012[44]
Party
Candidate
Votes
%
±


Republican

Pat McCrory

2,440,707

54.62%

+7.74%


Democratic
Walter H. Dalton
1,931,580
43.23%
-7.04%


Libertarian
Barbara Howe
94,652
2.12%
-0.73%


n/a
Write-ins
1,356
0.03%
N/A
Total votes

4,468,295

100.0%
N/A


Republican gain from Democratic


See also



  • North Carolina lieutenant gubernatorial election, 2012

  • United States gubernatorial elections, 2012



References





  1. ^ News & Observer: 90-year-old physician files in Democratic primary


  2. ^ Dalton makes it official: He will seek governor's office | newsobserver.com projects


  3. ^ State Board of Elections: candidate filing list Archived March 11, 2013, at the Wayback Machine


  4. ^ A Closer Look: Dunn making second run for Governor


  5. ^ "Former Rep. Bob Etheridge to run for governor". WTVD-TV. February 2, 2012..mw-parser-output cite.citation{font-style:inherit}.mw-parser-output .citation q{quotes:"""""""'""'"}.mw-parser-output .citation .cs1-lock-free a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/6/65/Lock-green.svg/9px-Lock-green.svg.png")no-repeat;background-position:right .1em center}.mw-parser-output .citation .cs1-lock-limited a,.mw-parser-output .citation .cs1-lock-registration a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/d/d6/Lock-gray-alt-2.svg/9px-Lock-gray-alt-2.svg.png")no-repeat;background-position:right .1em center}.mw-parser-output .citation .cs1-lock-subscription a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/a/aa/Lock-red-alt-2.svg/9px-Lock-red-alt-2.svg.png")no-repeat;background-position:right .1em center}.mw-parser-output .cs1-subscription,.mw-parser-output .cs1-registration{color:#555}.mw-parser-output .cs1-subscription span,.mw-parser-output .cs1-registration span{border-bottom:1px dotted;cursor:help}.mw-parser-output .cs1-ws-icon a{background:url("//upload.wikimedia.org/wikipedia/commons/thumb/4/4c/Wikisource-logo.svg/12px-Wikisource-logo.svg.png")no-repeat;background-position:right .1em center}.mw-parser-output code.cs1-code{color:inherit;background:inherit;border:inherit;padding:inherit}.mw-parser-output .cs1-hidden-error{display:none;font-size:100%}.mw-parser-output .cs1-visible-error{font-size:100%}.mw-parser-output .cs1-maint{display:none;color:#33aa33;margin-left:0.3em}.mw-parser-output .cs1-subscription,.mw-parser-output .cs1-registration,.mw-parser-output .cs1-format{font-size:95%}.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-left,.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-wl-left{padding-left:0.2em}.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-right,.mw-parser-output .cs1-kern-wl-right{padding-right:0.2em}


  6. ^ Bill Faison announces run for governor :: WRAL.com


  7. ^ Winston-Salem Journal


  8. ^ Christensen, Rob (February 28, 2012). "Dan Blue rules out governor's race". The News & Observer. Retrieved February 28, 2012.


  9. ^ Bowles won't run for governor


  10. ^ ab Perdue will not seek re-election :: WRAL.com


  11. ^ Democratic state treasurer won't seek higher office in 2012 | newsobserver.com projects


  12. ^ [1] Archived January 30, 2012, at the Wayback Machine


  13. ^ News & Observer: Charlotte mayor Anthony Foxx won't run for governor


  14. ^ "VOTE 2012: Hagan not running for governor". WWAY NewsChannel 3. January 30, 2012. Retrieved January 30, 2012.


  15. ^ Graff, Laura (January 30, 2012). "Winston-Salem Mayor Allen Joines won't run for governor". Winston-Salem Journal. Retrieved January 30, 2012.


  16. ^ Burns, Matthew (February 10, 2012). "McIntyre withdraws name from gubernatorial run". WRAL-TV. Retrieved February 10, 2012.


  17. ^ "Brad Miller won't run for governor". News and Observer. February 16, 2012. Retrieved February 16, 2012.


  18. ^ Christensen, Rob (February 24, 2012). "Moore won't run for governor". The News & Observer. Retrieved February 24, 2012.


  19. ^ Frank, John (January 26, 2012). "Gov. Bev Perdue will not run for re-election". Raleigh News & Observer. Archived from the original on October 25, 2012. Retrieved January 26, 2012.


  20. ^ Miller, Joshua (January 31, 2012). "North Carolina: Heath Shuler Decides Against Gubernatorial Bid". Roll Call. Retrieved January 31, 2012.


  21. ^ News & Observer: Democratic gubernatorial candidates' hopes ride on three nights of debate


  22. ^ News & Observer: Little discord at NC Democratic gubernatorial debate


  23. ^ News & Observer: Democratic gubernatorial debate: Criticism grows sharper


  24. ^ News & Observer: Democratic candidates vow to veto voter ID bills


  25. ^ ab Election Map 2012: Live Voting Results - POLITICO.com


  26. ^ Barksdale, Andrew (February 23, 2012). "Jim Harney of Cumberland County is running for N.C. Governor". The Fayetteville Observer. Retrieved February 24, 2012.


  27. ^ WRAL.com


  28. ^ News & Observer: Another Republican candidate for governor


  29. ^ "Pat McCrory '100 percent' in for NC gov race". WRAL-TV. Associated Press. December 19, 2011. Retrieved February 24, 2012.


  30. ^ ab "Two more Republicans join GOP contest for governor". The Times-News. Associated Press. February 24, 2012. Retrieved February 24, 2012.


  31. ^ WRAL/Associated Press: Other NC gov candidates still aim for top prize


  32. ^ Christensen, Rob (January 3, 2010). "Who has the edge in '10? The view from my murky research". The News & Observer. Retrieved December 4, 2010.


  33. ^ Daily Herald: N.C. labor commissioner: Focus is safety ("Berry, who was first elected to the position she occupies in 2000...plans to seek re-election in 2012.")


  34. ^ http://www.m2mpolitics.com/news/marriage-1967-primary-question.html


  35. ^ North Carolina County Commissioner Jumps Into Race : Roll Call Politics


  36. ^ News & Observer: Agriculture commissioner announces re-election bid


  37. ^ WCNC.com


  38. ^ "2012 Governor Race Ratings for November 1, 2012". The Cook Political Report. Retrieved November 30, 2018.


  39. ^ "PROJECTION: OBAMA WILL LIKELY WIN SECOND TERM". Sabato's Crystal Ball. Retrieved November 30, 2018.


  40. ^ "2012 Gubernatorial Ratings". Gubernatorial Ratings. The Rothenberg Political Report. Retrieved November 30, 2018.


  41. ^ "2012 Elections Map - 2012 Governor Races". Real Clear Politics. Retrieved November 30, 2018.


  42. ^ Associated Press/News & Observer


  43. ^ News & Observer


  44. ^ https://er.ncsbe.gov/?election_dt=11/06/2012&county_id=0&office=COS&contest=0




External links


  • North Carolina State Board of Elections

Campaign sites


  • Walter Dalton for Governor

  • Barbara Howe for Governor

  • Pat McCrory for Governor









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